Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.359727 0.392822 0.428076 0.468505 0.513687 0.562739 0.620172
2025-12-14 0.301388 0.347114 0.399103 0.462930 0.539650 0.629486 0.743501
2025-12-21 0.261604 0.311845 0.371446 0.448024 0.544747 0.664128 0.824614
2025-12-28 0.242662 0.297636 0.365212 0.455444 0.574388 0.728123 0.945692
2026-01-04 0.227031 0.285235 0.358966 0.460730 0.599952 0.787376 1.065163
2026-01-11 0.213196 0.273485 0.351885 0.463293 0.620838 0.840877 1.181117
2026-01-18 0.201114 0.262803 0.344926 0.464732 0.639348 0.891652 1.297574
2026-01-25 0.191553 0.254625 0.340434 0.468737 0.661156 0.948360 1.428559
2026-02-01 0.179042 0.241399 0.327789 0.459664 0.662293 0.973275 1.510894
2026-02-08 0.171373 0.234413 0.323376 0.462095 0.680653 1.025975 1.644417
2026-02-15 0.162852 0.225612 0.315644 0.458719 0.689286 1.063338 1.755339
2026-02-22 0.156538 0.219607 0.311560 0.460480 0.705968 1.115030 1.897407
2026-03-01 0.148524 0.210731 0.302763 0.454389 0.709569 1.145406 2.005252
2026-03-08 0.141301 0.202661 0.294725 0.448941 0.713763 1.177145 2.119881
2026-03-15 0.132596 0.191866 0.281822 0.434581 0.701322 1.177596 2.172025
2026-03-22 0.129426 0.189437 0.281894 0.441730 0.727038 1.250307 2.381517
2026-03-29 0.126028 0.186450 0.280852 0.446823 0.749327 1.318562 2.591287
2026-04-05 0.122321 0.182763 0.278433 0.449291 0.766862 1.379134 2.792905
2026-04-12 0.118646 0.178936 0.275545 0.450677 0.782355 1.436997 2.996901
2026-04-19 0.115673 0.176096 0.274124 0.454535 0.802800 1.506921 3.240394
2026-04-26 0.110584 0.169538 0.266079 0.445796 0.797796 1.522706 3.352984
2026-05-03 0.107767 0.166630 0.264118 0.448138 0.815028 1.587948 3.601676
2026-05-10 0.104156 0.162229 0.259347 0.444885 0.820563 1.627877 3.790434